Tuesday, September 8, 2009

Home Values? Perception vs Reality

A quick look at the real estate crash numbers and it is hard to believe that home values can go lower.

If over the past year "83% of U.S. homes declined in value" then there is only 17 more points left to go to reach the mark of '100% of U.S. homes declined in value.' A chart from Zillow’s Q2 Real Estate Market Reports paints the current picture:

zillow.com  Home Value Misperception Index

Can home values continue to fall?

The perception is that in the next six months home values will not continue to decline, as shown in Zillow's Home Value Misconception Index chart:

zillow.com  Home Value Misperception Index chart

The reality is that home values will continue their decent down the deflation path as fiscal conservatism continues to penetrate all aspects of American society. And with more bad news coming down the pipeline, such as the next scandal, that of Fannie Mae's "$5.4 trillion in taxpayer liabilities" that remain off-balance-sheet, just like Enron and Citigroup had done before, the perception that the decline of home values will stop will be shattered.

Posted via web from deflationtimes's posterous

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